class6技术1风险识别的工具和方法 ppt课件.ppt
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1、Tools and Methods for Risk Identification,工程项目风险管理与保险,双语课,Section 1 Introduction of RI,Notions Studies for knowing the possibility of some loss occurring, including two types of works: Hazard identification Accidental cause analysis Main tasks: What are these potential hazards, what are the kinds? W
2、hat is the main failure modes? What is the main reasons causing these failures? What is the possible effects of the failures?,Section 2 The methods of RI,Delphi method Brainstorming Insurance compilation Assets - Loss Analysis Analysis of financial statements Decomposition Fishbone diagram Checklist
3、 FEMA,Comparison of Insurance compilation and Assets-loss method.,Insurance compilation :Risk managers analyze risk based on the comparison of the kinds of insurance sold and Enterprise Status. Disadvantage: having limitations for some uninsurable risk identification. Advantage:Highlights the invest
4、igation on insurable risk of risk management body.,Assets - loss method: form is divided into two parts, one assets (tangible and intangible) list, but they face potential losses. Features: Analyzing all risks from the overall business perspective. Advantages: Considering both insurable risks and un
5、insurable risks.,Analysis of financial statements,Balance Sheet (资产负债表): The latest status of the main risk of a reaction point in time.,Income Statement(损益表): It is an accounting period of income, expenses and profits, showing a variety of factors influencing the net income.,Changes in financial po
6、sition(现金流量表): Prompt changes in net working capital, changes in the use of funds will reflect the main potential risk of projects.,Decomposition method,单项工程,单位工程,分部工程,分项工程,A case: The construction process of concrete floor Step 1,Step 2,Step 3,Step 4,Step 5,Step 6,Step 7,Checklist for case,搅拌站 : 砂子
7、的含泥量高; 砂子级配不合理; 石子的含泥量高; 石子级配的合理性和强度差; 水泥性能差。,施工现场:,运输过程,钢筋、PVC管线绑扎不牢,模板处理不净; 振捣漏振、欠振; 没有及时的二次抹压;,夏天温度高、风大,有水养护不到位; 混凝土浇筑完毕后短期内便上人或施加其他荷载,扰动了混凝土。 气候寒冷时,混凝土没有覆盖保温。,施工,养护,随意稀释; 塌落度控制不严。,Fishbone diagram for case,商品混凝土制备,运输,绑扎钢筋,浇筑,振捣碾平,养护使用,材料选择不当,配制强度,搅拌机选择,搅拌制度,从搅拌站至工地现场,泵送运输时,钢筋不合格,保护层厚度不准确,接头部分不当,
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