Global Commercial Aircraft Manufacturing.pdf
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1、CONTENTS Error! No text of specified style in document. November 2011 | .au | www.ibisworld.co.uk | IBISWorld Industry Report C2543-GL Global Commercial Aircraft Manufacturing November 2011 About This Industry . 2 Industry Definition . 2 Main Activities . 2 Similar Industries 2 Additional Resource
2、s 2 Industry Performance 4 Executive Summary 4 Key External Drivers . 4 Current Performance 4 Industry Outlook 7 Industry Life Cycle 10 Products aerospace engines, propulsion units, auxiliary equipment or parts; prototypes of aerospace products; aircraft conversion (i.e. major modifications to syste
3、ms); and complete aircraft or propulsion systems overhaul and rebuilding (i.e. periodic restoration of aircraft to original design specifications). Main Activities The primary activities of this industry are: Aircraft conversion Complete aircraft or propulsion systems overhauling and rebuilding Deve
4、loping and making prototypes. Manufacturing aerospace engines, propulsion units, auxiliary equipment or parts Manufacturing aircraft The major products and services in this industry are: Large commercial aircraft Aircraft engines and engine parts Other parts and auxiliary equipment Rotorcraft and bu
5、siness jets Regional aircraft Similar Industries C2513-GL - Global Commercial and Service Machinery Manufacturing Establishments in this industry manufacture machinery including aircraft machine tools, instruments and appliances. C2523-GL - Global Computer Hardware Manufacturing Firms in this indust
6、ry manufacture computer equipment for aircraft controls such as navigational, guidance, aeronautical and avionics equipment. H4831-GL - Global Airlines Companies in this industry provide civilian aircraft transportation services. H4832-GL - Global Air Freight Logistics Enterprises in this industry p
7、rovide logistic freight services using aircraft. L6722-GL - Global Engineering Services Organizations in this industry engage in aerospace research and development (except prototype production). Additional Resources For additional information on this industry: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Global Commercial Air
8、craft Manufacturing November 2011 3 www.census.gov US Census Bureau www.icao.int International Civil Aviation Organization epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu Eurostat Air Transport World WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Global Commercial Aircraft Manufacturing November 2011 4 Industry Performance Executive Summary The Glo
9、bal Civil Aerospace Products Manufacturing industry experienced turbulent conditions in the past five years, but escaped the crisis with minimal losses. IBISWorld estimates that industry revenue will increase by 3.0%per annum over the five years through 2011. Revenue is expected to grow 8.1% during
10、2011, reaching $141.6 billion. Strong revenue growth in 2006 and 2007 was primarily attributed to buoyant demand from developing countries in terms of demand for air travel and replacements in aircraft fleet. This created a strong backlog of orders for major producers, which gave them a beneficial p
11、osition during the economic downturn. The industry was slowed by the delayed delivery of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner. The first 787 delivery occurred in the third quarter of 2011. A number of things, including a two-month workers strike in 2008, hindered production. Boeing moved many resources from ot
12、her programs to fast-track the delivery of the 787, which meant that the companys overall production declined in 2008. This had a ripple effect on smaller manufacturers of parts and caused industry revenue to contract in 2009. Over the next five years, the 787 will be a driver of revenue growth, as
13、orders numbers are high. IBISWorld estimates that revenue will grow by 2.7% per annum to $161.6 billion in 2016. Developing countries such as China, India, Brazil and Russia will be the main source of demand in the next 20 years. Prosperous economic times and rising demand for travel will support so
14、lid industry growth. Key External Drivers The key sensitivities affecting the performance of the Global Commercial Aircraft Manufacturing industry include: Downstream Demand - Scheduled Air Transportation Passenger airlines in the scheduled air transport industry are major customers for civil aerosp
15、ace products. An increase in demand for air travel will lead to higher aircraft acquisitions. Industry Systems however, some form of electronics or mechanical training is preferred due to the reliance on computers and computer-operated equipment. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Global Commercial Aircraft Manufact
16、uring November 2011 7 Industry Outlook Recovery is in sight for aircraft manufacturers as global conditions improve and airlines continue to upgrade their fleets. Industry revenue will rise by 2.7% per annum over the next five years, to reach $161.6 billion in 2016. Revenue growth will be based on s
17、trong demand for new aircraft technology, a significant backlog of orders, an increase in air passenger traffic, stabilization of crude oil prices, higher aircraft replacement and strong growth in the air cargo market. IBISWorld estimates that an increase in air passenger traffic will be the key dri
18、ver for industry revenue growth. In North America, growth in traffic is expected to increase as consumer and business sentiment recover. In Europe, air traffic passengers are expected to increase moderately over the next five years as general economic recovery boosts leisure travel. The Internationa
19、l Air Transport Association expects that economic revival in economies in Latin America, such as Brazil, will increase traffic growth in the region. The fastest growing regions will be in Asia, where economic growth and infrastructure improvements will lead to a rapid rise in passenger numbers. Boei
20、ng expects that global passenger numbers will increase by 5.0% per annum over the next 20 years. As demand for air travel takes off, airlines will return to stronger investment in aircraft, which will benefit the industry. Aircraft deliveries and oil Asia will constitute the largest regional market
21、for aircraft deliveries and will concentrate on large aircraft acquisitions such as the Airbus A380. In the Middle East, due to its geographical location, demand will consist of single-aisle fleet, which will provide the most cost-effective model for airlines in that region. Boeing expects that in t
22、he 20-year period between 2009 and 2028, major airlines will acquire 29,000 passenger jets to accommodate traffic growth and to satisfy the replacement market. During 2028, about 83% of planes in service will have been delivered after 2008. This represents a strong market for aircraft manufacturers.
23、 The price of oil is expected to return to historically high levels over the next five years, which will add pressure to airframe and engine manufacturers to design and produce more fuel-efficient products. High fuel prices will also cause airlines to acquire larger capacity aircraft with lower fuel
24、 burn per seat. High fuel prices will speed up the aircraft retirement cycle, as less fuel-efficient types of aircraft will move out of the market at a faster rate. This will force airline operators to acquire more fuel-efficient aircraft. The Middle East will benefit from high oil prices over the n
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