Thermal Power Generation in China - Industry Report.pdf
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1、CONTENTS Error! No text of specified style in document. December 2011 | 1-800-330-3772 | IBISWorld Industry Report 4411 Thermal Power Generation in China December 2011 About This Industry . 2 Industry Definition 2 Main Activities . 2 Similar Industries . 2 Additional Resources . 3 Industry Perform
2、ance 4 Executive Summary . 4 Key External Drivers 4 Current Performance . 5 Industry Outlook 7 Industry Life Cycle . 9 Products higher environmental protection; and greater technology requirements. These factors are expected to contribute to slower industry growth in the future. At the same time, de
3、regulation and new market entries from private and foreign investors with higher technology expertise and capital ability leads to greater competition and opportunities for industry participants. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.CN Thermal Power Generation in China December 2011 10 Products and 300 megawatt to 399
4、 megawatt units are expected to account for 44% of units. Large units with generating capacity of 500 megawatts and higher are expected to account for 15% of total units. Oil-fired units generally have a smaller generating capacity of 100 megawatts to 199 megawatts. The majority of the oil-fired uni
5、ts have a generating capacity of 125 megawatts. The product segmentation at large power generating companies can differ slightly from the average level and may use higher levels of oil, while smaller power stations use less oil. Among coal-fired generating units, about 82% use domestically manufactu
6、red equipment, and the remaining 18% use imported equipment. All 10 oil-fired units use domestically manufactured equipment. In 2011, about 4% of the electricity generation units in China are expected to be natural gas-fired units. Natural gas-fired electricity generation has many advantages, such a
7、s highly efficient electricity generation, flexible operations, and convenient start-up and stopping processes. In addition, natural gas-fired electricity generation plants require smaller areas compared with coal-fired and oil-fired electricity generation plants. Natural gas-fired electricity gener
8、ation has lower pollution levels, and China is rich in natural gas resources. Therefore, the size of the natural gas-fired electricity segment is expected to increase in the future. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.CN Thermal Power Generation in China December 2011 12 Demand Determinants Chinas strong economic gro
9、wth is the main demand determinant as the energy sector in general is closely linked to overall economic development and growth. Stable political direction and the governments desire to develop and promote the Chinese economy are also important factors for the industrys development in the long term.
10、 The industrial sector and households are the major users of electricity, accounting for a combined 84.8% of demand. Heavy industry alone accounts for the largest proportion of total industrial electricity consumption. The average Chinese consumers increasing income and purchasing power contributes
11、to stronger demand for electronic products such as televisions, fridges and air-conditioners, and increases the total electricity consumption level. The proportion of residential electricity consumption has increased over the past five years. Low electricity per capita consumption and installed capa
12、city are additional determinants for demand growth. In 2011, Chinas per capita electricity level was low at a forecast 3,200 kilowatt hours per person, up from 1,100 kilowatt hours in 2003. As a comparison, electricity consumption in the United States in 2011 is an estimated 15,000 kilowatt hours pe
13、r person in 2011, with Canada slightly higher at 18,000 kilowatt hours and Russia about half that of the Unites States but still double Chinas average, at 7,000 kilowatt hours per person. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.CN Thermal Power Generation in China December 2011 13 Major Markets Secondary industries 74.0%
14、 Residential 13.0% Tertiary industries 10.7% Primary industries 2.3% The largest end-user of electricity is Chinas industrial sector (secondary industries), creating the greatest demand for electricity power of estimated 74.0% of total electricity consumption in 2011. Chinas industrial sector, which
15、 is particularly energy-intensive, has grown rapidly in the past decade. Its proportion of total consumption, however, has been slowly decreasing, while electricity demand from tertiary industries (the services sector) has been increasing. Household consumers are the second-largest market with estim
16、ated 13.0% of total electricity consumption. Over 40% of the population lives in urban areas. However, the urban population consumes 60% of the energy for residential users, significantly contributing to energy demand. There are 25 cities with populations over 1 million in China and the average popu
17、lation growth rate in urban areas is 1.4% per year. The percentage of the population in urban areas is expected to increase to between 55% and 60% by 2020. A rising middle class also drives higher energy demand, as individuals require higher living standards, travel more by air and use more cars on
18、the roads. The service sector (tertiary industries) is forecast to account for about 10.7% of total electricity consumption in 2011. Of these, the largest share is consumed by public administration and social organizations with 30.7% of the service sector. Accommodation and catering is the second-la
19、rgest segment within the service sector with 28.2% of its electricity consumption. Transport, storage and postal services make up 18.2%, financial services 17.9%, and 4.4% of the service sectors electricity is consumed by users in the information transmission, computer services and software sub-sect
20、ors in China. International Trade Exports in this industry are low and steady. Imports in this industry are low and steady. Chinese electricity imports account for an extremely small percentage of domestic demand, at about 0.06% in 2010. This totaled $292.2 million in 2010, up from $135.9 million in
21、 2002 (constant 2011 dollars). Chinas electricity exports totaled $1.25 billion in 2010, up from $499.5 million in 2002. Exports accounted for 0.7% of industry revenue in 2010. About 95% of electricity imports and exports are between Hong Kong and Guangdong Province in China. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.CN Th
22、ermal Power Generation in China December 2011 14 Business Locations Region Percentage East China 28.0 North East China 21.2 North China 19.3 Middle South China 17.2 North West China 9.2 South West China 5.0 Region Percentage East China 40.0 North East China 8.7 North China 18.9 Middle South China 17
23、.5 North West China 9.3 South West China 5.6 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.CN Thermal Power Generation in China December 2011 15 Region Percentage East China 37.7 North East China 9.7 North China 17.2 Middle South China 24.2 North West China 5.9 South West China 5.5 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.CN Thermal Power Generation
24、 in China December 2011 16 The major electricity-generating provinces in China are Jiangsu with an estimated 11.1% of industry revenue, Guangdong with 9.7%, Shandong with 8.1% and Henan with 8.2% of total industry revenue in 2011. Jiangsu and Guangdong are Chinas manufacturing centers across many ec
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