Ericsson Mobility Report 2019.pdf
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1、Subscriptions Strong 5G subscription momentum as ecosystem rapidly develops Mobile data traffic Driven by constantly increasing video content, mobile data traffic continues to surge Co-written articles Insights from SK Telecom and MTN Group illustrate strong mobile industry progress mobility-report
2、 Ericsson Mobility Report November 2019 2Ericsson Mobility Report | November 2019Introduction2Ericsson Mobility Report | November 2019 Key contributors Executive Editor: Patrik Cerwall Project Manager: Anette Lundvall Editors: Peter Jonsson, Stephen Carson Forecasts: Richard Mller Authors: Peter Jon
3、sson, Stephen Carson, Greger Blennerud, Jason Kyohun Shim, Brian Arendse, Ahmad Husseini, Per Lindberg, Kati hman Co-authors: Navindran Naidoo, Pieter Van der Westhuizen, Emmanuel Lartey: MTN Group (South Africa) Jonghun Lee, Chiyoung Choi: SK Telecom (South Korea) 5G goes from strength to strength
4、as networks are built out across the world. A big uptake of 5G subscriptions has taken place in South Korea, with around 3 million subscribers recorded in just a few months. Globally, we estimate 5G subscriptions for the end of 2019 will reach 13 million. In perspective, what has happened in 2019 do
5、esnt determine the success of 5G but rather indicates what is to come. When looking at the development in this industry over the last few years it is truly astonishing to see the progress. The 5G specifications were accelerated in 3GPP, leading to device and infrastructure vendors taking on the chal
6、lenge to deliver 5G earlier than expected. It is encouraging to see that 5G now has broad support from almost all device makers, and a very strong ecosystem. Together with SK Telecom we take a closer look at the deployment strategies used to capture early benefits of 5G. We also examine communicatio
7、ns service provider tariff plans and how they are evolving. So far, a majority of the launch markets are charging a premium averaging almost 20 percent for 5G subscriptions. Today most of the investments, traffic and subscriptions are in 2G, 3G or 4G networks. Modernizing existing networks, improvin
8、g network performance and increasing user experience continue to be at the core of every service providers day-to-day business. Together with MTN, we explore how this is achieved in two African markets. By 2025, we expect 5G to have 2.6 billion subscriptions covering up to 65 percent of the worlds p
9、opulation and generating 45 percent of the worlds total mobile data traffic. I hope you find the report engaging and useful! Publisher Fredrik Jejdling Executive Vice President and Head of Business Area Networks 5G momentum continues Letter from the publisher We describe how in Ghana and Rwanda, MTN
10、 Group is leveraging network performance and customer loyalty to address growth opportunities. Page 24 We explore how mobile networks provide reliable and secure connectivity, meeting different use case requirements of automotive and transport applications. Page 18 3Ericsson Mobility Report | Novemb
11、er 2019Introduction Articles 18 Automotive IoT 20 A strategy for differentiating the 5G user experience 24 Network performance as a lever for business growth 28 Mobile service packaging trends 32 Methodology 33 Glossary 34 Global and regional key figures Forecasts 04 Mobile subscriptions Q3 2019 06
12、Mobile subscriptions outlook 08 5G device outlook 09 Voice and communication services trends and outlook 10 Regional subscriptions outlook 12 Mobile traffic Q3 2019 13 Mobile traffic by application category 14 Mobile data traffic outlook 16 Network coverage 17 IoT connections outlook The content of
13、this document is based on a number of theoretical dependencies and assumptions. Ericsson shall not be bound by or liable for any statement, representation, undertaking or omission made in this document. Furthermore, Ericsson may, at any time, change the contents of this document at its sole discreti
14、on and shall not be liable for the consequences of such changes. Contents Find out more Scan the QR code or visit We show how increasing performance levels of 4G and introducing 5G are driving innovation in mobile service packaging. Page 28 With SK Telecom, we look into their cluster-based 5G deplo
15、yment strategy, focusing on customer experience. Page 20 4Ericsson Mobility Report | November 2019Forecasts Mobile subscriptions Q3 2019 The number of mobile subscriptions grew at 3 percent year-on-year and currently totals around 8 billion. High subscription growth continues from previous quarters
16、in China, which had the most net additions during the quarter (+14 million), followed by Indonesia (+9 million) and the Philippines (+8 million). The number of mobile broadband subscriptions1 grew 10 percent year-on-year, increasing by 120 million in Q3 2019. The total is now 6.2 billion or 77 perce
17、nt of mobile subscriptions. The number of 4G (LTE) subscriptions increased by 190 million during the quarter to reach a total of 4.2 billion, or 52 percent of all mobile subscriptions. 3G (WCDMA/HSPA) subscriptions declined by 50 million and 2G (GSM/EDGE-only) subscriptions declined by 70 million. O
18、ther technologies2 declined by around 10 million. The total number of mobile subscriptions was around 8 billion in Q3 2019, with 61 million subscriptions added during the quarter. 1 Mobile broadband includes radio access technologies HSPA (3G), LTE (4G), 5G, CDMA2000 EV-DO, TD-SCDMA and Mobile WiMAX
19、 Mainly CDMA2000 EV-DO, TD-SCDMA and Mobile WiMAX * India region includes India, Nepal and Bhutan * Excluding China and India Figure 1: Subscription penetration Q3 2019 (percent of population) 123% Western Europe 114% China 141% Central and Eastern Europe 82% Africa 101% Latin America 105% North Ame
20、rica 111% Middle East 86% India* 117% APAC* Subscriptions associated with smartphones account for more than 70 percent of all mobile phone subscriptions. Mobile subscriptions exceed the population in many countries, which is largely due to inactive subscriptions, multiple device ownership and use of
21、 different subscriptions for different types of calls. As a result, the number of mobile subscribers is lower than the number of mobile subscriptions. Today, there are around 5.9 billion subscribers globally compared to 8 billion subscriptions. Global mobile subscription penetration is at 104 percen
22、t. 5Ericsson Mobility Report | November 2019Forecasts 6.2bn There are now 6.2 billion mobile broadband subscriptions. 52% A total of 52 percent of all mobile subscriptions are now for LTE. 61m During the quarter, 61 million subscriptions were added. Figure 2: Total and net additions for mobile subsc
23、riptions Q3 2019 (million) North America385 (+2) Middle East415 (+7) Western Europe515 (+1) Central and Eastern Europe 575 (+1) Africa1,065 (+15) APAC (excluding China and India) 1,595 (+16) India1,170 (+6) Latin America665 (-1) China1,595 (+14) Figure 3: Top countries by net additions Q3 2019 China
24、 +14 million Indonesia +9 million Philippines +8 million 6Ericsson Mobility Report | November 2019Forecasts 8 1 3 2 4 10 9 7 6 5 1 Ericsson and GSA, November 2019 2 A 5G subscription is counted as such when associated with a device that supports New Radio (NR), as specified in 3GPP Release 15, and i
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